All three teams from New York state return to action this weekend. The Bills and Giants find themselves as betting favorites, while the Jets are underdogs in the NFL Week 11 opening lines.
As the NFL pushes into the second half of its regular season, the contenders and pretenders continue to separate themselves. That said, conference standings and playoff races still sport a glut of teams in the middle, making every game integral. As a result, most of the NFL Week 11 opening lines feature spreads of less than a touchdown.
Underdogs widened their lead over Favorites this season, covering in eight of the 14 Week 10 ballgames. For the season, Underdogs sport an 83-61-6 mark against the spread, with road ‘dogs going 50-37-3 ATS thus far. The Under continues to hit regularly as well. Point totals have seen the Under go 87-61 through 10 weeks.
Here’s a look at the NFL Week 11 opening lines for the Bills, Giants, and Jets.
NFL Week 11 Opening Lines: Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns
Buffalo found itself, once again, embroiled in a “game of the year” candidate, this time against the Minnesota Vikings. Although the Bills controlled most that game, Minnesota capitalized on critical mistakes from NFL MVP frontrunner Josh Allen. Now, they welcome a struggling Cleveland Browns (3-6, 4-5 ATS), who rank sixth in the NFL in yards-per-carry (4.9).
The Bills (6-3, 4-4-1 ATS) have suffered back-to-back losses in stunning fashion and seem to sleepwalk through portions of their games. These setbacks have resulted in fading Super Bowl odds and now the Bills find themselves in third place in the AFC East. Stopping the run will be paramount for Buffalo, which allows 122.3 rushing yards per home game.
The Buffalo area expects some seriously wintry weather this weekend, with possibly two feet of snow hitting the ground on Sunday. Obviously, in conditions like those, the Under looks the right play.
NFL Week 11 Opening Lines: New York Giants vs Detroit Lions
The New York Giants returned from their bye week to beat the Houston Texans 27-16 at home in Week 10. Saquon Barkley continued his bounce-back campaign, carrying the ball a career-high 35 times in the victory. He ran for 152 yards and a score to help the Giants improve to 7-2 on the season. This marks the team’s best start since 2008 (8-1) and the G-Men hope to make a run to the postseason for the first time since 2016.
The G-Men will hope Barkley can replicate that performance against one of the league’s worst run defenses. The Lions allow an NFC-most 160.9 rushing yards-per-game, including 174 per-game on the road. Detroit did score a stunning come-from-behind victory in Chicago last week, so they’re no pushover.
Most sportsbooks set the Giants as 3.5-point favorites in the opening odds, thanks in large part to New York’s 7-2 mark against the spread. The G-Men sport a 4-1 ATS mark at home, and welcome a Detroit squad that’s just 1-7 outright in its last eight road games. The Lions, though, are 5-4 against the spread this season, including 2-2 on the road.
NFL Week 11 Opening Lines: New York Jets at New England Patriots
The Jets (6-3, 6-3 ATS) enjoyed a much-needed bye week following their stunning upset of the Buffalo Bills in Week 9. The New England Patriots (5-4, 5-3-1 ATS) also got the week off, and they too enter coming off a victory, a 26-3 win over Indianapolis that led to the Colts firing head coach Frank Reich.
This remains an important game for both clubs as the teams jockey for playoff positioning. This game stands as a rematch of their Week 8 bout, one in which the Patriots topped Gang Green at MetLife 22-17. Jets quarterback Zach Wilson set a new career-high for passing yards in that one, but also threw three critical interceptions. New England will look to force Wilson into winning this one, too, while seeking to control the ground game against a Jets defense that allows 131.3 rushing yards-per-game on the road.
New England has dominated this matchup over the last decade, going 21-2 outright since 2012. New York’s lost 13 in a row to the Patriots. The Pats sport a 5-1-1 mark against the spread in the last seven games versus the Jets in New England. The Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between these clubs.