Well, we’re one week into the 2024 Major League Baseball season, and let’s see how things are going for the New York Mets:

  • 5 losses
  • 3 rain outs
  • 0 wins

It’s true that teams have losing streaks of this magnitude throughout the season, but it’s just magnified when it comes in games 1-5. So as the old adage goes: buy low and sell high. Let’s take a look at the New York Mets prop bets for both the team and certain players and see if we can take advantage of slow starts in the odds.

Mets Prop Bet for the Team: Top-2 Finish in NL East

It’s fair to hand the National League East to the Atlanta Braves. But the rest of the division hasn’t started out so hot — in fact, Miami looks worse than the Mets. The Marlins are going into play Thursday at 0-7. Philadelphia started their first homestand at 2-4, and Washington is 2-3.

A week into the season, the Mets aren’t hitting — they rank 28th in MLB with a .188 average. But with a host of proven offensive players and the soon-to-be addition of J.D. Martinez, the bats should be fine. What has been fine — despite the record — is the starting pitching. Overall, the Mets are eighth in ERA at 3.16 and starting pitching ERA is in the top-five of MLB.

Pitching was the supposed weak spot of this team coming into the season, especially with ace Kodai Senga starting the season on the injured list. But if the team can string some good starts together, could a ceiling be a second-place finish in the division? Sure, if the Phillies underachive.

Now while this isn’t likely, do you see this as a 6-1 shot? At BetMGM, you can take the NL East final ranking (top-two in any order) as Atlanta and the Mets at +600. In our minds, this is worth a shot at that value.

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Mets Prop Bet for a Player: The Trumpets Are Back

While he hasn’t entered the game in a save situation, it looks like Edwin Diaz is picking up where he left off in 2022.

After tossing a scoreless ninth in Thursday’s Game 1, Diaz has faced 10 batters this season, allowing one hit and striking out five. At BetMGM, Diaz is the overwhelming favorite for National League Reliever of the Year at +275.

While several other players will likely rack up more saves, if Diaz keeps striking out batters at nearly two per inning, this award will be his. We know we should be patient after Diaz is coming off missing an entire season, but from what we’ve seen so far, it doesn’t appear that he will suffer any long-term effects from that. Diaz was 3-1 with a 1.31 ERA in 2022, striking out 118 batters in 62 innings of work. He won the award then and the early returns put him in great shape to do so again.

Revisiting the Mets’ Playoff Chances

In our preseason article on the Mets, the club’s chances to make the playoffs were at +160. Now at DraftKings, the odds are sitting at +280.

As we mentioned at the beginning of this article: buy low!

That’s a dramatic shift in odds for just having played five games. You would think the oddsmakers are Mets fans, who are professionals at the doom and gloom.

To put this in perspective, the Mets have played 3% of their season. In the NFL, a team may start 0-1 and have played almost 6% of the season. We know 0-1 teams make the playoffs. So do 0-2 and even 0-3 teams. While there is a chance the Mets won’t recover from this and win around 75 games for the second year in a row, they could also go on an immediate hot streak and get back to .500 or better before April is over.

If you didn’t grab the bet during spring training and wanted to wait to see how the regular season started, you’re probably not encouraged. However, with the shift in odds, it might be worth the risk.

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