The New York Jets host the Miami Dolphins in this NFL Week 5 AFC East clash. The Jets enter coming off a victory but are still underdogs in the betting odds.
The New York Jets enter their NFL Week 5 clash with AFC East rival Miami holding a chance to get above .500 for the first time since Week 5 of the 2017 season. The Jets stunning road victory last week setup a key divisional clash with the Dolphins, though New York remains the underdog in the betting odds.
New York hasn’t registered back-to-back wins since Weeks 15 and 16 of the 2020 season. What’s more, the Jets have dropped four in a row to Miami and eight of the last nine. Couple that with Miami’s mini-bye week coming off Thursday Night Football last week, the Dolphins come to this contest with a bit of an edge.
Here’s a look at the best betting odds for this Week 5 matchup between the Jets and Dolphins at MetLife Stadium on Sunday.
Best Betting Odds for Jets vs Dolphins
The Jets were one of six underdogs to win outright in Week 4 and they’ll host the Dolphins in Week 5 with Miami starting former Jets quarterback Teddy Bridgewater on Sunday.
The look-ahead line for this game listed the Dolphins at minus-2.5, but by September Miami saw minus-5.5 at most sportsbooks. Last week’s injury to Tua Tagovailoa and the Jets surprising comeback signaled a fading for the Fins. Sportsbooks now list Miami between minus-3 and minus-3.5.
The total for this game opened between 45 and 45.5 on most boards and quickly shrunk to as low as 42.5 in some places. Action has since pushed that figure back up to between 45.5 and 46.
NFL Week 5 Preview: New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins
New York started Zach Wilson for the first time this season last week, and he responded with a solid fourth quarter. Wilson led the game-winning touchdown drive and went 10-of-12 for 128 yards and a score in the fourth quarter. It helped that the defense intercepted Pittsburgh quarterback Kenny Pickett three times in the second half.
Wilson finished the game 18-for-36 for 252 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions. He also caught a touchdown pass in that game. In Week 5, the second-year signal caller will be facing a depleted Dolphins secondary, one without Byron Jones and a hobbled Xavien Howard. The Jets average 292.5 passing yards-per-game thus far, fourth-best in the league. The Dolphins pass defense surrenders 299.2 yards-per-game, the second-most in the league.
Neither team comes to this contest with impressive running games. Miami ranks 29th in total rushing yards (277) and 28th in yards-per-carry (3.5). New York, meanwhile, ranks 28th in total rushing yards (350) but 22nd in yards-per-carry (4.1).
Wilson and Co. will have to take care of the football if they’re going to reverse the recent trends in this series. Since the start of the 2021 season, Miami sports an 11-5 mark when forcing at least one turnover. The Jets have coughed up 36 turnovers since the start of 2021, the second-most in the NFL.
Betting Trends Affect Jets, Dolphins Odds
This matchup has been one-sided of late, with the Dolphins covering in seven of the last nine games between these clubs. Miami sports a 4-0 mark against the spread in its last four trips to MetLife Stadium.
Bridgewater enters this battle 2-0 against his former club, completing 73.1 percent of his passes for 544 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception. Bettors should know that Bridgewater-led teams cover 66.6 percent of the time (42-20-1) when he starts at quarterback, including a 24-6 mark on the road.
The road team is 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings between these clubs. The Jets have covered in just two of their last eight home games, and in just two of their last nine games following an ATS win. Against AFC East rivals, New York sports a 1-7 mark against the spread in their last eight games.
While the Jets have seen the Over hit in each of their last five October games, the Under has dominated this series of late. The Under hit in four of the last five games between these clubs and in each of the last five meetings in New York. The Dolphins have seen the Under hit in six of their last seven road games as well.