Following a flurry of activity at the MLB Trade Deadline, both the Mets and Yankees sport solid World Series odds for the season’s stretch run.
Following a flurry of activity at the MLB Trade Deadline this week, both New York clubs stand their standing solidified in the latest World Series odds. Both the Mets and the Yankees completed deals to strengthen their teams for the stretch run. And both clubs remain among the favorites for this year’s Fall Classic.
That said, the Yankees ultimately did more to bolster their roster than their cross-town rivals, doing so without surrendering any of their top prospects. The Yankees added pieces to their outfield, starting rotation, and bullpen, holding on to prized prospects like Jasson Dominguez, Oswald Peraza, and Anthony Volpe.
The additions of Andrew Benintendi, Frankie Montas, Scott Effross, and Lou Trivino cost the Yankees some of their pitching prospect depth but definitely bolsters the team for 2022 and beyond. The team’s final deal of the day, acquiring Harrison Bader from St Louis, came at a significant cost to the rotation (Jordan Montgomery), especially consider a deal for Miami Marlins starter Pablo Lopez never materialized.
For the Mets, adding pieces up and through the deadline strengthened their club as well, only more on the margins. The 7-Line Army already saw Daniel Vogelbach and Tyler Naquin join the team before the Mets picked up reliever Mychal Givens and DH Darin Ruf.
These moves solidified the New York teams’ standing among those clubs with the best World Series odds. Now, bettors must decide if these futures bets hold favorable-enough odds to wager on.
Yankees Remain Among Favorites in World Series Odds
The New York Yankees entered MLB Trade Deadline Day among the favorites in World Series odds. While they didn’t complete a blockbuster deal, the moves the Yanks completed did shorten their odds at some sportsbooks, including DraftKings.
That said, the San Diego Padres enjoyed the biggest World Series odds improvement following their blockbuster deal for Juan Soto. The Padres saw odds as long as +2500 prior to the All-Star break and stood at +2000 heading into the trade deadline. Following the trades for Soto and others, San Diego jumped at most sportsbooks, shortening to between +1000 and +1200.
FanDuel, New York’s leader in mobile sports betting handle, offers the shortest odds among the top sportsbooks in the state. The +330 odds present an implied probability of 23.3 percent, which is tops in MLB. The Los Angeles Dodgers check in on FanDuel at +350, a 22.2 percent implied probability.
DraftKings views the Yankees as the second-most likely World Series winner on their odds list. New York trails the Dodgers (+380) at DraftKings, but at +425, that wager represents the best potential return for bettors.
Mets with New Competition for Postseason Odds
The New York Mets found themselves trailing the Dodgers for World Series odds at most sportsbooks prior to the trade deadline. The team’s lack of a blockbuster deal kept them squarely behind the Dodgers for the National League pennant as well. But following the deadline moves by the Padres and Atlanta Braves, the Mets find themselves with competition in this postseason run.
The 7-Line Army points to the return of Jacob deGrom as the biggest acquisition for the team near the trade deadline, and that can’t be undersold. However, additions by the Padres and Braves makes New York’s standing among NL contenders that much shakier.
|Sportsbook||Mets World Series Odds|
The Mets still stand among the five or so teams getting better than 10-to-1 odds to be the 2022 World Series winner. Their starting rotation remains the team’s biggest leverage point, and additions to the bullpen help, too. New York sees the fourth-best implied odds (13.3 percent to 14.3 percent) among World Series contenders.
The Mets remain the odds-on favorite to win the NL East, seeing odds between -270 to -300 at NY sportsbooks. The Mets last won the World Series in 1986.