After the long-rumored deal to send Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers to the New York Jets finally happened the week of the NFL Draft in April, several dominoes were able to fall.
One was the NFL schedule, which placed the Jets in prime-time in six of their 17 games, which is the maximum amount allowed by the league. In addition, New York will appear in the 4:25 p.m. national window on Sunday three additional times.
Secondly, NY sportsbooks are taking advantage of the extra interest in the Jets by adding a slew of Jets- and Rodgers-specific prop bets for the 2023 NFL season. We are taking a look at five of the best ones.
1. Jets to Score 1+ Touchdown in Every Regular Season Game (+100)
This is an even-money bet available at NY sportsbook FanDuel. Face it—this is basically a bet on Rodgers’ health. When playing a full game, a Rodgers-led team has never been shut out. Granted, this Aaron Rodgers prop bet calls for the Jets to score a touchdown, but they have enough offensive pieces to figure that they can score at least one touchdown each week. Also, note that this doesn’t require the touchdown to come from the offense. New York’s playmakers on defense can also score, or it can be a special teams TD.
2. Rodgers 4,000 Regular-Season Passing Yards + Jets Make Playoffs (+175)
- Rodgers 4,000 Regular Season Passing Yards + Jets Make Playoffs (+175)
Last season was the first since 2015 that Rodgers played a full season but did not eclipse the 4,000-yard passing mark. He ended up with 3,695 yards in 2022. Expect the Jets to run their offense through Rodgers more since the Jets don’t have a running back the likes of Aaron Jones.
The real bet here is Rodgers going for 4,000 passing yards. If he does, it feels like it would be almost automatic that the Jets would win enough games to qualify for the playoffs. Jump on this bet at NY sportsbook DraftKings.
3. Aaron Rodgers Prop Bet: Under 29.5 Touchdown Passes (-116)
Despite Rodgers’ incredible success, he isn’t known for throwing mounds of touchdown passes year after year. In fact, he’s tossed more than 26 touchdowns just twice in the past six seasons. In fact, this number opened at 30.5 and has dropped down a full touchdown in a matter of weeks.
Rodgers is no stranger to playing in bad weather, given that he played in Lambeau Field his entire career, but he will have more cold-weather games at the end of the season: three home games along with ones in Cleveland and New England after Dec. 1. See if you can get this number at under 30, which is available at BetMGM.
4. Aaron Rodgers as NFL MVP (+1800)
The ultimate Aaron Rodgers prop bet, odds are currently available at Caesars Sportsbook. While it may seem far-fetched, Rodgers won two of the last three NFL MVP awards going into this upcoming campaign. In his MVP-winning campaign of 2021, Rodgers opened the season at +3000 to win the award.
Helping Rodgers in this instance will be playing for the Jets, which has long been a struggling franchise in the nation’s largest media market. While Rodgers’ failures will be magnified, if he wins, his successes will be magnified too. With the odds where they are, there’s good value in this pick.
- Jets to Miss Playoffs/Packers to Make Playoffs (+500)
If you’re leaning contrarian on your Aaron Rodgers prop bets, here’s one for you that’s available at FanDuel. While Rodgers could certainly lead the Jets to the playoffs, it’s a very real possibility that he will not. Buffalo, Miami, and even New England can provide challenges inside the AFC East. The Jets also have to play Dallas, both Super Bowl teams, and the crosstown New York Giants—all by Week 8.
Green Bay, meanwhile, was one win away from making the playoffs last year despite a down season by Rodgers. The NFC North is a major toss-up. Detroit is a popular pick, but their strength last year was the running game, and they lost both running backs who fueled that part of the offense. Justin Fields is a question mark in Chicago. While the Vikings had an impressive 13-4 record last year, they won the majority of their games by a touchdown or less and were bounced in the first round of the playoffs by the Giants. If Jordan Love is the real deal, there’s no reason the Pack can’t get back to the playoffs.