The New York Yankees host the Cleveland Guardians for Game 1 in their 2022 ALDS. The Yankees enter this series with favorable betting odds to advance to the 2022 ALCS.
The New York Yankees welcome the Cleveland Guardians to the Bronx on Tuesday to start their American League Divisional Series. The Guardians made it to the 2022 ALDS after topping the Tampa Bay Rays in the Wild Card round. Despite a rousing walk-off victory in Cleveland last week, the Guardians come to this Game 1 contest as underdogs in the ALDS odds.
The Yankees finished 2022 as the AL East division champs and saw their players break long-held records along the way. Aaron Judge established a new single-season mark for home runs in the American League. New York’s Game 1 starter, Gerrit Cole, set a new Yankees single-season strikeout record, fanning 257 batters in 2022. This broke Ron Guidry’s previous record (248), which was establishing in 1978. The Yankees sport 8.5 percent chance to win the World Series at this point according to FanGraphs’ metrics.
The Yankees posted a 5-1 record against Cleveland this season, outscoring the Guardians by 24 runs (38 to 14) in those games. New York swept the Guardians in Yankees Stadium back in April, outscoring Cleveland 19-7 in that series.
Cleveland caught fire late in the season, going 21-8 in September. The Guardians have won 24 of their last 30 games, the best mark in baseball. The Yankees aren’t far behind though, going 20-10 of their last 30, tied for the third-best mark in MLB.
Here’s a look at the best betting odds for this Yankees-Guardians ALDS clash, including the specific lines for Tuesday’s Game 1.
Best ALDS Odds Yankees-Guardians Game 1
The minus-210 odds for the Yankees in this ALDS Game 1 matchup sport a 67.74 percent implied probability. BetMGM and PointsBet set New York’s Moneyline at minus-225, which bumps up the implied probability to 69.23 percent.
As the betting favorites this season, the Yankees went 94-53, winning at a 63.9 percent rate. In games with the Moneyline set at minus-224 or more, New York posted a 28-6 record (82.4 percent rate). The Guardians posted a 36-43 record as an underdog this season. When favored by more than plus-185 this season, Cleveland went just 2-5.
Cole started twice this season against the Cleveland Guardians, winning both those contests. He pitched to a 1.42 ERA over 12.2 innings, allowing just two earned runs and striking out 15 along the way.
ALDS Odds Favor Yankees to Advance
The Yankees come to the ALDS holding favorable betting odds across the board. BetRivers set the Yankees with minus-205 odds to win the ALDS (Cleveland’s at +165 on their board). Bettors see an “Exact Outcome of the Series” option at BetRivers, which lists the Yankees at +325 to win in either four or five games.
BetRivers lists New York at +425 to sweep the series. Bettors also see a special at the sportsbook which provides +260 odds for there to be fewer than 3.5 games in the ALDS.
Lead by Judge’s record-breaking binge, the Yankees paced MLB in home runs this season (254) and finished second in runs scored (807). New York ranked fourth in slugging percentage (.426), thanks to their 487 extra-base hits (eighth-most).
Most sportsbooks list the New York Yankees with World Series odds between +500 and +550. These are second to only the Houston Astros in the American League, a team that would be favored in the ALCS should these squads meet.
Betting Trends Affect ALDS Odds
Several betting trends affect the ALDS odds ahead of Tuesday’s Game 1. New York enters having won 94 of its 147 games as the betting favorite this season. The Yankees went 57-24 at home this season, including a three-game sweep of Cleveland back in April. New York comes to this contest having won 12 of its final 17 games.
Cleveland posted an 87-77 mark against the spread this season, covering at a 53.1 percent clip. Over their last 27 road games this season, the Guardians managed a 21-6 record. In their last 21 games versus a right-handed starter, Cleveland posted a 17-4 mark.
The Over hit in four of the last five meetings between these clubs in New York. The Yankees saw the Over hit in 11 of their last 15 home games, and in six of their last seven following an off-day. The Guardians have seen the Over hit in eight of their last 10 Game 1s of a series.