New York kickoffs NFL’s Week 16 slate on Thursday Night Football. The Jets and Jaguars both need a win in a game that’s basically a pick’em in the betting odds.
As colder weather sweeps across the country, NFL playoff races continue to heat up. The NFL’s Week 16 slate of games gets kicked off at MetLife Stadium on Thursday Night Football, as the New York Jets (7-7, 8-6 ATS) host the Jacksonville Jaguars (6-8, 6-8 ATS) in a game with serious playoff implications for both clubs. The Jets enter as 1.5-point favorites against the Jaguars in the betting odds.
New York took a tough loss at home last week, falling 20-17 to the Detroit Lions. The Jets couldn’t hold a four-point fourth quarter advantage, allowing a 51-yard touchdown pass on fourth-and-1 with 1:49 remaining. Greg Zeurlein missed a game-tying 58-yard field goal. This loss pushed the Jets further down the standings, making the franchise’s first postseason berth in 11 years all the more unlikely at this point. The Jets host a hot Jacksonville team, fresh off a stunning 40-34 upset of the Dallas Cowboys. The Jags could win the AFC South by winning their final three games this season.
Here’s a look at the best betting odds for this pivotal matchup between the Jets and Jaguars.
Best Betting Odds for New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars
|Jaguars Best Odds||+1.5/-107 (See the Odds on PointsBet)||+105 (See the Odds on Caesars)||Over 37/-107 (PointsBet)|
|Jets Best Odds||-1/-113 (See the Odds on BetRivers)||-118 (See the Odds on FanDuel)||Under 37.5/-110 (See the Odds on BetMGM)|
The opening lines for this game opened near a pick’em almost across the board. The Jaguars actually started as slight favorites to start the week, before action flipped the spread at most sportsbooks to the Jets. The Jaguars come to this contest just 2-5 outright on the road so far this season.
The point total for this contest opened at 38.5 for most books, the fourth-lowest on the NFL Week 16 slate. Considering the weather and New York’s limited offense, it’s no surprise the total has come down across the board to as low as 37 at some sportsbooks.
NFL Week 16 Preview: New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars
New York’s three-game losing skid could not have come at a worse time for the teams. The Jets find themselves a full-game out of the AFC’s final Wild Card spot and a daunting schedule down the stretch. It hasn’t helped matters that during this three-game losing streak that New York’s offense has managed just 17 points-per-game.
The Jaguars, meanwhile, come to this one having won three of their last four games. In their last two, Jacksonville’s scored a combined 76 points. That run has helped propel them into the playoff conversation. Jacksonville can actually win their division with victories in their final three games.
Gang Green will once again be without Mike White’s services, as he’s yet to be cleared for contact from his injury. That sets up a Zach Wilson-Trevor Lawrence matchup in primetime. Lawerence has completed 67.8 percent of his passes for 1,186 yards and 11 touchdowns with one interception in his last four games.
The weather forecast for this game suggests heavy rain and wind, in addition to the cold temperatures. It’s no wonder then that the point total continues to drop for this contest.
Betting Trends Affect Jets, Jaguars Odds
Several betting trends affect the odds for this matchup between the Jets and Jaguars. New York has held the upper hand in the last several matchups in this series, winning five of the past seven meetings, including a 26-21 home victory last season. The favorite holds a 5-2 mark against the spread in the last seven meetings as well.
The home team holds a 4-0 record against the spread in the last four games between these clubs. The Jags enter 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six games overall, but just 2-8-1 against the spread in their last 11 road games. The Jets are 6-0 against the spread following an ATS loss lately, but are 0-4 against the spread in their last four Thursday games.
While the Under has held sway all season, the Over hit more often than not in this series. The Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these teams at MetLife Stadium and 5-0 in the last five meetings overall. That said, the weather’s expected to be terrible and the Jets have seen the Under hit in five of their last seven home games.