Best MLB Futures Win Total Odds for Yankees and Mets

Major League Baseball’s 2023 season stands right around the corner from getting started. With MLB Spring Training set to start in about a month, teams continue to tinker with the rosters in preparation. While most of the big moves have been made, a few lingering transactions could push the needle from some contenders. As such, New York sportsbooks maintain shifting win totals on their MLB Futures boards. 

The New York Yankees and New York Mets enter the 2023 season with some of the highest expectations in the league. Both teams sit near the top of most sportsbooks World Series odds boards and have some of the highest MLB Futures projections in the league. 

Here’s a look at the pre-season win totals for the Yankees and Mets heading into the 2023 season. 

The New York Yankees made yet another run to MLB’s postseason last year, managing an appearance in the ALCS before being eliminated. The Yankees saw All-Star slugger Aaron Judge post a season for the ages, and look forward to bringing him back after signing the MVP to a nine-year, $360 million contract in December. 

New York added to their pitching rotation by signing left-handed starter Carlos Rodon from San Francisco. This move solidifies the Yankees starting rotation among the best in baseball heading into Spring Training. While there may be some regression from Judge in 2023, Rodon and that rotation should carry this squad. Harrison Bader should add to this lineup as well, one that finished with a better run differential (+240) last season than the eventual World Series champs, the Houston Astros. 

BetMGM sportsbook lists the Yankees pre-season MLB Futures win total prop at 95.5, with the Over and Under both seeing -110 odds. The Over seems like a solid play this pre-season. Last year, New York saw a 91.5 win total over/under at most sportsbooks. The Yankees hit the Over in 2022, winning 99 ballgames. 

The New York Mets made national headlines when they agreed to terms on a blockbuster contract with free agent shortstop Carlos Correa. But the team backed out of the 12-year, $315 million deal with Correa because of concerns regarding his long-term health. Correa ultimately re-signed with the Minnesota Twins, leaving the Mets to put their focus elsewhere. 

This offseason has been a busy one for the Mets’ front office. New York re-signed closer Edwin Diaz, outfielder Brandon Nimmo, and reliever Adam Ottavino. From there, the team address the loss of Jacob deGrom by signing Justin Verlander. They further supplemented the starting rotation by adding Jose Quintana and Japanese product Kodai Senga. Despite all of the hype, though, some doubters remain in regards to the Mets and their MLB Futures. 

The Mets sport one of MLB’s deepest lineups and most complete starting rotation. What’s more, Diaz stands out as a top-5 closer in baseball, leading one of the game’s best bullpens, which will be key considering the other teams in their division and the NL in general. 

Caesars sportsbook opened their pre-season MLB Futures win total board at 96.5 for the Mets, but that was when it looked like the team had added Correa. These days, Caesars lists the Mets win total prop at 95, with the Over and Under both getting -110 odds. 

Last season, New York saw their win total set at 90.5 by most sportsbooks. The Mets went on to clear the Over for that prop by 11 games, winning 101 in 2022 en route to a playoff appearance. This season, the Over looks like a solid play once again. The Mets are deep and talented.