The Buffalo Bills host the Green Bay Packers and see themselves as double-digit favorites in the betting odds for Sunday Night Football.
The Buffalo Bills enjoyed their bye week after an impressive Week 6 win in Kansas City over the Chiefs. Buffalo holds the top spot in the AFC thanks to that victory. This marquee matchup pits two of the game’s best quarterbacks against one another, but considering Green Bay’s recent struggles, the game could be lopsided. The Bills enter as double-digit favorites in the betting odds over the Packers.
Aaron Rodgers sees his team as a double-digit underdog for the first time in his career, but that’s not surprising considering the state of Green Bay’s offense. The Packers come to this one on a three-game losing skid outright and have failed to cover in each of their last four games.
Here’s a look at the best betting odds for this marquee matchup between the Bills and Packers.
Best Betting Odds for Bills vs Packers
The opening line for this contest raised some eyebrows, as Rodgers saw a double-digit spread for a game he was expected to play in for the first time in his career. Some sportsbooks started at +8.5 in favor of the Bills, but those spreads quickly moved to at least 10 in short order. This marks a stark contrast to the preseason look-ahead lines for this contest, which set the Bills as +4 favorites.
The point total for this game has hovered at or near 47.5 at most sportsbooks, although Caesars listed it as high as 52.5 back on October 11th. The monumental struggles of Green Bay’s offense has kept this total under 50.
NFL Week 8 Preview: Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers
While this game still features a great deal of star power, much of the luster has left this matchup. Once viewed as a potential Super Bowl preview, a quick look at the betting odds indicates only one of the teams in this Bills-Packers game is a true contender. What’s more, Josh Allen remains the betting favorite for NFL MVP this season and looks to dethrone two-time defending MVP Rodgers in the process.
The Packers struggles on offense continued last week, as Green Bay managed just 21 points in a loss to the Washington Commanders. That marked the third-straight defeat for the Packers, something that hasn’t happened very often during Rodgers’ tenure with the team. It won’t help Rodgers or Green Bay’s offense that one of their top receivers, Allen Lazard, doesn’t expect to play in this contest.
Green Bay ranks 23rd in scoring this season, averaging 18.3 points-per-game. They’re tasked with facing the top scoring defense in the league, a Bills squad allowing just 13.5 points-per-game. The Packers defense surrenders 20.9 points-per-game, 14th in the NFL, and they’ll look to slow down the league’s second-best scoring unit. The Bills average 29.3 points-per-game.
The Packers have been good against the pass, allowing a league-low 168 passing yards-per-game. Allen leads a Buffalo passing attack that averages a league-best 323 yards-per-game.
The Bills have ruled out offensive lineman Spencer Brown for this game.
Betting Trends Affect Bills, Packers Odds
Several betting trends affect the odds in this matchup between the Bills and Packers. With their latest win, Buffalo improved to 4-1-1 against the spread, and are 5-0-1 against the spread in their last six home games. Green Bay enters this contest just 1-5 against the spread in its last six road games.
The favorite sports a 5-1 mark against the spread over the last six games between these teams. The home team has been even better, covering in each of the last six in this series. The Packers are 0-4 against the spread in their last four games overall. The Bills, meanwhile, enjoy a 10-1-2 mark against the spread in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record.
The Under has hit in each of the last five matchups between the Bills and Packers. Buffalo has seen the Under hit in five of their six games this season. For Green Bay, the Under has hit in four of their last five against teams with a winning record.