Two of New York state’s football teams face off in a key AFC East battle on Sunday. The Bills ready to face the Jets as double-digit favorites in the betting odds.
The Buffalo Bills (6-1, 4-2-1 ATS) travel to nearby MetLife Stadium for Sunday’s key AFC tilt with the New York Jets (5-3, 5-3 ATS). Buffalo comes to this one following a 10-point victory over the Green Bay Packers while Gang Green took a 5-point loss to the New England Patriots. The Bills enter this game versus the Jets as double-digit favorites in the betting odds once again.
The Jets saw second-year signal caller Zach Wilson submit perhaps the most uneven performance of his career in last week’s loss. Wilson threw for a career-high 355 passing yards and two touchdowns, but also tossed three critical, and seemingly avoidable, interceptions.
Buffalo, meanwhile, took a commanding lead early last week over the Packers, but took their foot off the gas after halftime. The Bills shifted into cruise control in the second half against Green Bay and ultimately allowed a back-door cover by the Packers.
Here’s a look at the best betting odds for this AFC East showdown between the Bills and Jets.
Best Betting Odds for Bills at Jets
While the look-ahead line for this game opened with Buffalo +6.5 in the spring, the Bills dominant start to the season shifted the betting odds against the Jets dramatically in their favor. Most sportsbooks started this spread near 12.5 points in favor of the Bills, but the line has since moved slightly toward the Jets, who are hosting their divisional rival.
The Point Total for this contest started at 47.5 across the board, but has since come down to between 46 and 45.5. Although Buffalo sports one of the league’s top offenses, this game features two excellent defenses. The Bills rank fourth in defensive DVOA while New York ranks eighth, so this one should be a low-scoring affair.
NFL Week 8 Preview: Buffalo Bills at New York Jets
The Jets lost for the 13th straight time to New England, dropping to 5-3 on the season. New York’s struggles in AFC East play continued when they couldn’t solve the Patriots. The Jets fell to 1-13 over the last three seasons against AFC East opponents, and that lone win came at home against a Miami Dolphins team forced to play a seventh-round rookie at quarterback. The Jets haven’t defeated Buffalo since December 2019, and haven’t won against the Bills at home since November 2017.
Jets quarterback Zach Wilson faces one of the stiffest tests of his young career coming off of a three-interception performance last week. He’ll need to be better against pressure to give the Jets a fighting chance and avoid those careless heaves that characterized his play last week. Wilson completes only 19 percent of his passes when facing pressure.
New York needs to establish the run against a Bills defense that has shown some susceptibility to opposing ground games. Last week, Buffalo allowed the Packers to run up 209 rushing yards, including 143 from Aaron Jones alone. The Jets, though, managed just 51 rushing yards last week, their first game without star rookie running back Breece Hall and some key offensive linemen.
Although the Jets’ defense remains the team’s strength, Buffalo comes to MetLife with one of the league’s top offensive units. The Bills second in points-per-game (29.0), first in passing yards-per-game (307.7), and eighth in yards-per-carry (5.0).
Betting Trends Affect Bills, Jets Odds
Several betting trends affect the odds in this game between the Bills and Jets. Buffalo enters 5-1 outright in the last six against the Jets, and defeated New York by at least 17 points in both games last season. The Bills failed to cover a 10.5-point spread last week after allowing a late touchdown to Green Bay. But double-digit favorites hold a 5-4 mark against the spread this season, with Buffalo accounting for two of those covers.
The Jets enter with a 4-1 mark against the spread over their last five games and have excelled against the spread on the road this season (4-0). That said, New York sports just a 1-3 mark against the spread at home.
The Under has hit in four of the last six meetings between these clubs and in four of the Bills’ last five road games. The Under has hit in six of the Jets’ last nine games overall.