The Buffalo Bills travel to Baltimore as the betting odds favorites for their NFL Week 4 clash with the Ravens.
The Buffalo Bills travel to Baltimore to face the Ravens in a pivotal AFC battle of 2-1 teams with Super Bowl aspirations. Buffalo absorbed a difficult defeat in South Florida last week, but the Ravens managed to bounce back from their Week 2 loss with a convincing win in Week 3. This sets up an intriguing battle for these ballclubs, with the Bills entering as the betting favorite with solid odds.
The Bills Super Bowl odds remain unchanged despite suffering their first loss of the season last week, a 21-19 setback to the Miami Dolphins. Josh Allen continues as the early season front-runner for league MVP. He’s thrown for 1,014 yards and nine touchdowns with just two interceptions thus far, while also leading Buffalo with 113 rushing yards this season. His main MVP competition comes from Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson, who’s responsible for 12 touchdowns so far this season.
Here’s a look at the best betting odds for this key AFC battle between the Bills and Ravens in Week 4.
Best Betting Odds for Bills at Ravens
The look-ahead line for this game started Bills minus-1 back in May. Both of these clubs were expected to challenge for the AFC title, but in the intervening months, it’s become clear Buffalo’s the better team. The opening line set the Bills as 4-point favorites, but action has pushed the total to between three and 3.5 points at most sportsbooks.
Despite a matchup featuring two of the best offenses in the league, with two of the most dynamic quarterbacks in the game, the opening total has come down from its opening 55.5-point perch.
Most sportsbooks have it set between 51.5 and 52 points approaching the weekend. Action has come in to the Under, in part, because of the expected weather conditions. The forecast lists an 80 percent chance of rain in Baltimore on Sunday with winds up to 20 miles per hour.
NFL Week 4 Preview: Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens
The rain will put a damper on what should be one of the most exciting matchups early in the season. Baltimore leads the league in scoring, averaging 33 points-per-game, and the Bills aren’t far behind (30.3 points-per-game, third-most). Both offenses rank in the top-five for total yards-per-game, with Buffalo’s 441.3 average ranking second in the NFL.
Buffalo’s defense checks in with a league-best 214 yards-per-game-allowed average. The Bills have held opposing quarterbacks to a league-low 65.3 passer rating and only two passing touchdowns (tied for the fewest). That said, they’re facing a lead’s leader in touchdowns this week while dealing with a bevy of injuries, including to much of their starting secondary.
Lamar Jackson leads the league with 10 passing touchdowns and 12 total touchdowns this season. He’s averaging over 80 passing-yards-per-game more this season (250) than a year ago, and he leans on playmakers like Mark Andrews and Rashod Bateman in the passing game.
Baltimore’s defense, though, remains a cause for concern with the Ravens. Despite all the offensive success, the defense collapsed in the fourth quarter versus Miami in Week 2 and gave up 447 yards to a mediocre Patriots team in Week 3. The Ravens did force four turnovers last week, though.
Betting Trends Affect Bills, Ravens Odds
Several betting trends affect the odds for this matchup between the Bills and Ravens. The home team holds a 4-1 mark against the spread in the last five meetings between these clubs. The betting favorite has covered in each of the last four meetings.
The Ravens have won each of the last five games between these ballclubs in Baltimore. What’s more, the Ravens hold a 15-3-1 mark against the spread in their last 19 games as a home underdog. They’ve covered in six of the last seven as a home ‘dog of a field goal or more, winning four of those contests outright.
Buffalo comes to this one 7-1-1 against the spread following an ATS loss and 6-1-1 in their last eight losses overall. That said, the Bills enter just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven versus a team with a winning record.
The Under has hit in four of the last five meetings between these clubs. Buffalo’s seen the Under hit in 10 of its last 13 games following a loss, but the Over is 4-1 in its last five against a winning team. The Under is 4-1 in the Ravens last five after an outright win.